31-20 Jan 2014 – AEX-index Forecasting based on Matching-Date in the Past in 2022

laatste update: 08-2022


31 Jan 2014, This uses data untill today . Match-Date is shown at top-left .
I look in the past for a matching date . On the matching date , data ( stock price ,or SD=standard deviation etc) before matching date looks similar to data before forecasting-day ( next market day) .
The matching dates , show probable scenario for today & future , as past of matching date is similar to past of today .
Afte collecting automatic matches , I use Try-mode for fine-tuning of the match date by visually-comparing past & last days graph of price, RSI, SD & checking compliance in last few days ( I can hide a few last-dates data for checking ) . Forecasting is not precise , but can guide me about coming 1-3 days , in combination with other
info from other analysts .

11 gedachten over “31-20 Jan 2014 – AEX-index Forecasting based on Matching-Date in the Past in 2022”

  1. 20 Jan 2014, AEX index
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 040111 :
    Xm 793:200114,O=408.22,H=409.27,L=406.81,C=407.26(-1.00)
    Actual:170114,O=404.85,H=408.55,L=404.85,C=408.26(+0.67)

  2. 21 Jan 2014, AEX index 
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 040111 :
    Xt 794:210114,O=407.96,H=409.01,L=406.55,C=407.00(-1.00)
    Actual:200114,O=407.18,H=408.03,L=406.54,C=408.00(-0.26)

    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 121113 🙁 this is very recent date, apears sometimes)
    Xt  49:210114,O=407.79,H=408.66,L=405.87,C=405.93(-2.07)
    Actual:200114,O=407.18,H=408.03,L=406.54,C=408.00(-0.26)

  3. 22 Jan 2014, AEX index
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 060410 :(not in video)
    Xt 990:220114,O=406.89,H=409.36,L=406.62,C=409.36(+4.17)
    Actual:210114,O=408.43,H=408.81,L=404.26,C=405.19(-2.81)

    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 090107 (in video part of 6 Jan)
    Xt1835:220114,O=406.75,H=410.35,L=406.74,C=408.25(+3.06)
    Actual:210114,O=408.43,H=408.81,L=404.26,C=405.19(-2.81)

  4. 23 Jan 2014, AEX index ( in video at end, 23 Dec part)
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 271212 :
    Xt 279:230114,O=406.23,H=409.00,L=406.23,C=407.64(+0.19)
    Actual:220114,O=406.92,H=408.37,L=405.47,C=407.45(+2.26)

  5. 24 Jan 2014, AEX index 
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 281212 (in video at end in 23 Dec part):
    Xt 279:240114,O=404.55,H=404.70,L=400.85,C=401.18(-2.71)
    Actual:230114,O=405.93,H=408.10,L=403.14,C=403.89(-3.56)

    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 070111 :
    Xt 794:240114,O=403.59,H=405.15,L=401.31,C=403.44(-0.45)
    Actual:230114,O=405.93,H=408.10,L=403.14,C=403.89(-3.56)

  6. 27 Jan 2014, AEX index , some more scenarios apeared, most show a part-recovery by wednesday, the choice is difficult now . I selected the same as previous day .
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 311212 :
    Xt 279:270114,O=392.16,H=395.85,L=391.35,C=394.56(+0.71)
    Actual:240114,O=404.17,H=404.98,L=393.54,C=393.85(-10.04)

  7. 28 Jan 2014, AEX index
    AEXIND, Scenario found by week-bars givin good match for yesterday:
    Xt       280114,O=391.99,H=394.82,L=390.78,C=394.09(+3.30)
    Actual:270114,O=392.77,H=393.89,L=389.82,C=390.79(-3.06)

  8. 29 Jan 2014, AEX index
    AEXIND, Scenario found by week-bars used yesterday:, not in video .
    Xt       290114 ,O=393.43,H=396.26,L=392.22,C=395.53(+3.30)
    Actual:280114,O=391.88,H=393.14,L=390.22,C=392.23(+1.44)

  9. 30 Jan 2014, AEX index
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 131005 : (not in video), hard to select .
    Xt2164:300114,O=388.38,H=389.61,L=385.40,C=387.00(-2.33)
    Actual:290114,O=395.35,H=396.51,L=384.68,C=389.33(-2.90)

  10. 31 Jan 2014, AEX index
    AEXIND, Scenario match-date 131005 :
    Xt2165:310114,O=388.66,H=389.89,L=385.68,C=387.28(-2.33)
    Actual:300114,O=388.77,H=392.11,L=386.38,C=389.61(+0.28)

  11. —-
    03 Feb 2014 
    I dont intend to upload videos with matching date based scenarios any more . 
    I found it amazing that daily seach for matching date in the past data 
    provided just a few  ( 4-5) matching-dates & corresponding scenarios,
     seaching in the last 9 years data . 
    Week-bars provided stable matching dates , but these have inherent uncertainty 
    of atleast a week . I used these scenarios , in combination with other analysis
     to guide my trading .
     Daily predicted data were not correct , but high-low & even close 
     for coming 1-3 days were usefull as guide ,
     but choice of probable scenario  was not always easy. Thanks for your attentio & time . .  

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